The Betting Report "The Merseyside Derby" ⚽️⚽️⚽️ | (02/04/25)


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Good morning Reader


March Round Up

Profit, Profit and more Profit 💰💰

The Multiplier

- Another strong month from this +EV Acca service with 13.61 points profit

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The Analyst

- A very strong month yet again from The Analyst

- 18.51 points profit from the Pre Match Bets

- 11.57 points profit from In-Play trading recommendations

- 30.08 total points profit

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K.I.S.S Football Trading

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Roulette Football Trading

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- 6.75 pts profit on Over 1.5 goals (winning 10/11 trades)

- -3.26 pts profit on Over 2.5 goals

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Sequor Football

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Match Of The Day

Liverpool vs Everton

- 20:00 Premier League

Liverpool (Home):

• Clean Sheet (CS): 36%

• Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 57%

• Over 2.5 goals (2.5+): 64%

Everton (Away):

• Clean Sheet (CS): 29%

• Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 43%

• Over 2.5 goals (2.5+): 29%

Goal Trends

Liverpool:

• Goals scored in the first half: 45%

• Goals scored in the second half: 55%

• Goals scored between 76-90: 17%

• Goals conceded in the first half: 48%

• Goals conceded in the second half: 52%

• Goals conceded between 76-90: 22%

Everton:

• Goals scored in the first half: 63%

• Goals scored in the second half: 37%

• Goals scored between 76-90: 19%

• Goals conceded in the first half: 33%

• Goals conceded in the second half: 67%

• Goals conceded between 76-90: 31%

xG Trends:

• Liverpool xG: 1.87

• Everton xG: 1.14

• xG Advantage: Liverpool carry a nice 0.73 xG advantage into this Merseyside Derby and an amazing home win rate of 79%, versus Everton's 21% win rate away.

Prediction:

After two cup defeats, Liverpool return to league action for the first time since the 8th March in the last Merseyside Derby of the season.

Following the return of Moyes, Everton have become a much harder team to beat. In the last ten matches, Everton's record is 4 wins, 5 draws and just the single loss.

Expect a typical blood and bluster derby with a stalemate the likely outcome, with Everton coming away with their 15th draw of the season.

Prediction: Liverpool 1-1 Everton


Betting Knowledge

Staking Plans for In-Play Football Trading

In-play football trading differs from traditional betting because odds fluctuate dynamically during a match. This requires adaptive staking strategies that balance profit-taking and risk management. Below are some of the most effective staking plans for in-play football trading, including ladder staking and other advanced methods.

12. The 50/25/25 Split Staking Plan

What Is It:

A structured staking plan that splits the stake across three different bets to manage risk.

How It Works?

50% of the stake on the main market (e.g., Over 2.5 Goals).

25% of the stake on a hedge bet (e.g., Correct Score 1-1).

25% of the stake on a higher-risk trade (e.g., Next Goal Market).

Why Use It?

Diversifies risk across multiple bets.

✅ Allows profit protection through hedging.

✅ Works well when betting on unpredictable matches.

Example - Over 2.5 Goals

Total Stake: $100

$50 on Over 2.5 Goals at 2.00

$25 on Correct Score 1-1 at 6.00

$25 on Next Goal: Home Team at 2.50

🔹 Best for: Traders who want balanced exposure across multiple markets.


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