• xG Advantage: Castellón carry a handy 0.53 xG Advantage into this match at the Nou Estadi Castàlia where they have a home win rate of 40%, just ahead of Real Zaragoza's 30% win rate away.
Prediction:
Castellón finished the season strongly with 6 wins in their final 8 matches, just missing out on automatic promotion.
Real Zaragoza finished 6th and perhaps the most worrying statistic is their 7 wins in the 21 away games this season (18th in the division).
Tight game expected, with Zaragoza likely to be happy with a draw or a narrow loss to take back home for the second leg.
Prediction: Castellón 1-0 Real Zaragoza
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