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Match Of The Day

Man City vs Bournemouth

- 20:00 Premier League

Man City (Home):

• Clean Sheet (CS): 28%

• Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 61%

• Over 2.5 goals (2.5+): 72%

Bournemouth (Away):

• Clean Sheet (CS): 11%

• Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 78%

• Over 2.5 goals (2.5+): 78%

Goal Trends

Man City:

• Goals scored in the first half: 57%

• Goals scored in the second half: 43%

• Goals scored between 76-90: 22%

• Goals conceded in the first half: 52%

• Goals conceded in the second half: 48%

• Goals conceded between 76-90: 28%

Bournemouth:

• Goals scored in the first half: 39%

• Goals scored in the second half: 61%

• Goals scored between 76-90: 33%

• Goals conceded in the first half: 44%

• Goals conceded in the second half: 56%

• Goals conceded between 76-90: 19%

xG Trends:

• Man City xG: 1.93

• Bournemouth xG: 1.67

• xG Advantage: Man City carry a handy 0.26 xG advantage into this match at Etihad Stadium, where they have a home win rate of 67%, leading Bournemouth's 39% win rate away by quite some margin.

Prediction:

A difficult match to forecast. City, somewhat surprisingly, lost the FA Cup to Crystal Palace and they need to pick themselves up quickly to maintain their Champions League push.

The interesting by-product of the FA Cup Final defeat is that it has severely dented Bournemouth's chances of Europe via the league as well.

Likely a tight, low-scoring contest, which is what we'll go for, but would not be entirely surprised to see a City "reaction" and 3 or 4 goals.

Prediction: Man City 2-0 Bournemouth